| 1. Identificação | ||||
| Tipo de Referência | Artigo em Revista Científica (Journal Article) | |||
| Site | mtc-m21c.sid.inpe.br | |||
| Código do Detentor | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Identificador | 8JMKD3MGP3W34R/3TCFB28 | |||
| Repositório | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2019/05.27.11.07 (acesso restrito) | |||
| Última Atualização | 2019:05.27.11.07.21 (UTC) simone | |||
| Repositório de Metadados | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2019/05.27.11.07.21 | |||
| Última Atualização dos Metadados | 2021:01.02.22.16.31 (UTC) administrator | |||
| DOI | 10.1007/s00382-018-4457-z | |||
| ISSN | 0930-7575 | |||
| Chave de Citação | AndradeCoelCava:2019:GlPrHi | |||
| Título | Global precipitation hindcast quality assessment of the Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) prediction project models  | |||
| Ano | 2019 | |||
| Mês | May | |||
| Data de Acesso | 03 maio 2024 | |||
| Tipo Secundário | PRE PI | |||
| Número de Arquivos | 1 | |||
| Tamanho | 11858 KiB | |||
| 2. Contextualização | ||||
| Autor | 1 Andrade, Felipe Marques de 2 Coelho, Caio Augusto dos Santos 3 Cavalcanti, Iracema Fonseca de Albuquerque | |||
| Identificador de Curriculo | 1 2 3 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JHDE | |||
| Grupo | 1 DIDOP-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 2 DIDOP-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 3 DIDMD-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR | |||
| Afiliação | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) | |||
| Endereço de e-Mail do Autor | 1 felipestratus@gmail.com 2 caio.coelho@inpe.br 3 iracema.cavalcanti@inpe.br | |||
| Revista | Climate Dynamics | |||
| Volume | 52 | |||
| Número | 9/10 | |||
| Páginas | 5451-5475 | |||
| Nota Secundária | A1_INTERDISCIPLINAR A1_GEOCIÊNCIAS A1_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_I A1_CIÊNCIAS_AMBIENTAIS A1_BIODIVERSIDADE A2_ENGENHARIAS_I A2_ASTRONOMIA_/_FÍSICA B1_CIÊNCIA_DA_COMPUTAÇÃO | |||
| Histórico (UTC) | 2019-05-27 11:07:21 :: simone -> administrator :: 2019-05-27 11:07:22 :: administrator -> simone :: 2019 2019-06-18 17:01:38 :: simone -> administrator :: 2019 2019-07-02 19:02:04 :: administrator -> simone :: 2019 2019-12-06 16:52:49 :: simone -> administrator :: 2019 2021-01-02 22:16:31 :: administrator -> simone :: 2019 | |||
| 3. Conteúdo e estrutura | ||||
| É a matriz ou uma cópia? | é a matriz | |||
| Estágio do Conteúdo | concluido | |||
| Transferível | 1 | |||
| Tipo do Conteúdo | External Contribution | |||
| Tipo de Versão | publisher | |||
| Palavras-Chave | Subseasonal prediction S2S prediction project models Hindcast quality Precipitation Teleconnections | |||
| Resumo | This study assessed subseasonal global precipitation hindcast quality from all Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) prediction project models. Deterministic forecast quality of weekly accumulated precipitation was verified using different metrics and hindcast data considering lead times up to 4weeks. The correlation scores were found to be higher during the first week and dropped as lead time increased, confining meaningful signals in the tropics mostly due to El Nino-Southern Oscillation and Madden-Julian Oscillation-related effects. The contribution of these two phenomena to hindcast quality was assessed by removing their regressed precipitation patterns from predicted fields. The model's rank showed ECMWF, UKMO, and KMA as the top scoring models even when using a single control member instead of the mean of all ensemble members. The lowest correlation was shared by CMA, ISAC, and HMCR for most weeks. Models with larger ensemble sizes presented noticeable reduction in correlation when subsampled to fewer perturbed members, showing the value of ensemble prediction. Systematic errors were measured through bias and variance ratio revealing in general large positive (negative) biases and variance overestimation (underestimation) over the tropical oceans (continents and/or extratropics). The atmospheric circulation hindcast quality was also examined suggesting the importance of using a relatively finer spatial resolution and a coupled model for resolving the tropical circulation dynamics, particularly for simulating tropical precipitation variability. The extratropical circulation hindcast quality was found to be low after the second week likely due to the inherent unpredictability of the extratropical variability and errors associated with model deficiencies in representing teleconnections. | |||
| Área | MET | |||
| Arranjo 1 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDMD > Global precipitation hindcast... | |||
| Arranjo 2 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDOP > Global precipitation hindcast... | |||
| Conteúdo da Pasta doc | acessar | |||
| Conteúdo da Pasta source | não têm arquivos | |||
| Conteúdo da Pasta agreement |
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| 4. Condições de acesso e uso | ||||
| Idioma | en | |||
| Arquivo Alvo | Andrade2019_Article_GlobalPrecipitationHindcastQua.pdf | |||
| Grupo de Usuários | simone | |||
| Grupo de Leitores | administrator simone | |||
| Visibilidade | shown | |||
| Política de Arquivamento | denypublisher denyfinaldraft12 | |||
| Permissão de Leitura | deny from all and allow from 150.163 | |||
| Permissão de Atualização | não transferida | |||
| 5. Fontes relacionadas | ||||
| Unidades Imediatamente Superiores | 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SKC35 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SQKNE | |||
| Lista de Itens Citando | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.50.18 1 sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2021/01.01.17.20 1 | |||
| Divulgação | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; AGU; COMPENDEX; SCOPUS. | |||
| Acervo Hospedeiro | urlib.net/www/2017/11.22.19.04 | |||
| 6. Notas | ||||
| Campos Vazios | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype typeofwork url | |||
| 7. Controle da descrição | ||||
| e-Mail (login) | simone | |||
| atualizar | ||||